Key Economic Events and Corporate Reports for Monday, February 16, 2026: Japan's GDP, Eurozone Industrial Production, Canada's Inflation, and Holidays in the USA and China. Analyzing the Impact on Global Equity Markets.
- Liquidity below normal: The USA and Canada are not trading (Washington’s Birthday/Presidents’ Day and Family Day), mainland China is closed for the Lunar New Year; Hong Kong operates on a half-day basis.
- Economic events of the day: Japan's GDP for Q4 2025; Eurozone industrial production for December; Canadian CPI for January postponed to February 17.
- Market focus: S&P 500 experiences no cash trading, reactions shift to futures/FX; Euro Stoxx 50 and Nikkei 225 gain traction; MOEX is sensitive to currency, commodities, and local corporate news.
February 16, 2026 — a typical “thin Monday”: many major trading centers are offline, which means that even moderate news in macroeconomics or corporate reports could trigger disproportionate price reactions. Below is a condensed calendar of economic events and a report overview for February 16, 2026, with a global focus tailored for investors in the CIS.
Day's Calendar: Events Shaping the "Risk Agenda"
- USA: No trading (Washington’s Birthday/Presidents’ Day). This “muting” affects cash signals for the S&P 500 and reduces arbitrage opportunities between regions.
- Canada: No trading (Family Day). CPI for January has been officially postponed to Tuesday, February 17.
- China (mainland): Stock exchanges are closed for the Spring Festival (Lunar New Year).
- Hong Kong: Half-day trading with a non-settlement day ahead of the Lunar New Year—"choppy" quotes on China proxies are possible.
- Japan (02:50 MSK): Preliminary GDP estimate for Q4 2025—key driver for Nikkei 225 and USD/JPY during the Asian session.
- Eurozone (13:00 MSK): December industrial production—sensitive for cyclic sectors of Euro Stoxx 50 and central bank rate expectations.
- Russia: Launch of Russian Business Week (February 16–20). The first day features forums by RSPP focused on personnel, technical regulation, and regulatory policy.
Asia: Japan's GDP and the "Holiday Vacuum" Effect from China
Japan's GDP for Q4 2025 came in weaker than expected: growth was around 0.2% year-on-year (annualized) and the quarterly pace was approximately 0.1%. In the “thin” market, this raises the likelihood of movement through the currency channel (yen) and sentiment shifting in global futures.
The closure of mainland China limits the scope for reassessment of commodity demand and pricing signals from supply chains; Hong Kong remains an entry point, but the reduced session could distort the overall picture.
Europe: Industrial Production and Central Bank Rhetoric
December industrial production in the Eurozone is one of the few “hard” indicators for the day. For the Euro Stoxx 50, it is critical to consider (1) the direction of surprises relative to expectations, (2) sectoral reactions—industrial companies, automotive, chemicals, and (3) implications for the rate trajectory and the “growth vs inflation” dynamics among central banks. Also on the agenda is the Eurogroup meeting and public comments from monetary authority representatives.
North America: A Day Without Cash, But Not Without Prices
The closures in the USA and Canada elevate the roles of futures, currencies, and commodities as “transmitters” of global risk. For investors, this serves as a practical signal: to account for potential widening spreads and liquidity gaps in instruments tied to S&P 500 and USD assets.
Russia and CIS: Context for MOEX
The day for MOEX unfolds amidst limited external liquidity and a busy internal business agenda (Russian Business Week). At the individual securities level, “small” corporate triggers are beginning to play a role—operational updates, coupon payments, corporate events; international investors from the CIS typically monitor impacts through the ruble and commodity prices.
Corporate Reports: Confirmed Publications for February 16, 2026
The table below documents major publicly traded companies scheduled for reports/results on February 16, 2026 (according to official company calendars and market disclosures). If there are no open expectations regarding revenue/profit, it is marked as "not specified." No major confirmed reports have been identified in the USA for this date (closed market).
| Company | Exchange/Region | Expected Key Metrics (revenue/profit/notes) |
|---|---|---|
| Bridgestone Corporation | Japan (TSE) | Annual report 2025; publication scheduled for 14:30 (Tokyo). Focus: margin, FX effect, guidance. Metrics/consensus—not specified. |
| Sartorius AG | Germany (Frankfurt/Xetra) | Publication of the annual report 2025. Preliminary: revenue €3.538 billion; underlying EBITDA €1.052 billion (margin 29.7%); underlying net profit €331 million. |
| Sartorius Stedim Biotech S.A. | France (Euronext Paris) | Publication of the annual report 2025. Preliminary: revenue €2.967 billion; underlying EBITDA €914 million (margin 30.8%); net profit €266 million. |
| JB Hi‑Fi Limited | Australia (ASX) | HY26 results presentation. Metrics: sales/margin/dividend—not specified. |
| Stockland | Australia (ASX) | 1H26 Results. Metrics: FFO, portfolio value, development, dividend—not specified. |
| Treasury Wine Estates | Australia (ASX) | Interim results: profit before one-off items ~A$128.5 million; significant asset write-down; dividend suspended (according to media reports). |
| Ansell Limited | Australia (ASX) | Publication of half-year results (to December 31, 2025). Metrics: revenue/margin/FX—not specified. |
| PAO "MGKL" | Russia (MOEX) | "Operational results for 1 month" (January 2026) according to the issuer's calendar. Revenue/volume details—unspecified until publication. |
| USA: Major Public Companies | USA (NYSE/Nasdaq) | unspecified (as of February 16, 2026, no major reports confirmed; market closed) |
Visualizations and Mermaid Timeline for Publication
- FX panel: USD/JPY (reaction to Japan's GDP), EUR/USD, and USD/CAD (against CPI expectations).
- Sector map: reaction of Euro Stoxx 50 to industrial production (industrials/auto/chemicals).
- Index thermometer: Nikkei 225, Euro Stoxx 50, S&P 500 futures, MOEX—all in one window.
February 16, 2026 (MSK): economic events and corporate reports 00:00-23:59 : USA/Canada — no trading | China (mainland) — holiday 00:00-23:59 : Hong Kong — half-day trading (Eve of Lunar New Year) 02:50 : Japan — GDP (Q4 2025, preliminary estimate) 13:00 : Eurozone — industrial production (December) 16:30 : Canada — CPI (postponed to 17.02) 10:00-17:00 : Russia — start of Russian Business Week (RSPP) 00:00-23:59 : Corporate reports — Bridgestone; Sartorius/SSB; Australia (JBH, SGP, ANN, TWE); RF (MGKL)
What Investors Should Pay Attention To
- The "Thin Market" Risk: With the absence of the USA, cash-oriented benchmarks for the S&P 500 are inaccessible, spreads and slippage may widen.
- Nikkei 225 and Currency: Japan’s weak GDP increases the role of USD/JPY as a barometer for global sentiment.
- Euro Stoxx 50: Eurozone industrial production is the main European macro trigger of the day; sectoral reactions are significant.
- Canadian CPI: The key inflation release has been shifted to February 17—Monday may serve as a “day of waiting” for CAD assets.
- Corporate Reports: In Europe, detailed annual reporting from Sartorius/SSB follows strong preliminary figures; in Asia, margin and forecasts from Bridgestone; in Australia, consumer signals (JB Hi‑Fi) and real estate (Stockland), as well as profit quality from Treasury Wine Estates.
- MOEX: Internal events and operational updates may amplify dispersion across individual securities; for CIS portfolios, the key is monitoring currency risk and liquidity scenarios.
The combination of “economic events” + “corporate reports” for February 16, 2026, should be interpreted with a consideration of the holiday calendar: markets are reassessing risk through Europe, Japan, and currencies, while corporate news receives disproportionate weight.
