Key Economic Events and Corporate Reports on Sunday, February 15, 2026. Analysis of Global Markets, Company Reports from the USA, Europe, Asia, and Russia, Dynamics of S&P 500, Euro Stoxx 50, Nikkei 225, and MOEX for CIS Investors.
Sundays rarely bring direct trading impulses: major exchanges are closed, liquidity is limited, and market reactions often shift to futures and currencies. Yet, it is on such days that the risk profile for the upcoming week takes shape. On February 15, 2026, investors will focus on inflation signals from the Middle East, preliminary GDP data from Japan, and public comments from the President of the European Central Bank. For the CIS audience, this set of indicators is significant: it sets the tone for the global risk appetite, influences the dynamics of the dollar and yen, and through commodity and currency channels—affects the sensitivity of Russian assets and the MOEX market to external factors.
Market Context: What to Watch Before the Week Opens
Ahead of the new week, investors typically look at three layers of "market temperature": (1) sentiment in the USA through the S&P 500 and futures movements, (2) rate expectations in Europe via the debt market and ECB rhetoric, and (3) the Asian cycle through Japan and China, where macro data can rapidly shift the direction of the yen and regional indices. During weekends, a key indicator is the behavior of futures for American indices and commodities in electronic sessions: while this is not always an accurate predictor, it serves as a useful marker of how the market digests news leading up to Monday.
- USA: sensitivity to inflation surprises and bond yields is crucial; futures often provide the first signal about the week's opening.
- Europe: main driver—expectations regarding the trajectory of rates and the ECB's tone; even a single speech can shift probabilities reflected in prices.
- Asia: Japan's GDP is a key trigger for the yen and Nikkei 225; surprises can then "spill over" into global portfolios.
Economic Events of the Day: Calendar and Timing
Below are time guidelines. For CIS readers, it’s useful to note: MSK = GMT+3. If you are executing trades through international brokers, align the timing of publications with the time zone of your platform.
- Saudi Arabia – January Inflation (CPI): 06:00 GMT (09:00 MSK). The dynamics of core components and price stability in services are crucial. For markets, this is a signal of "domestic pressure" in the region's economy and an indirect factor in discussions on monetary policy in dollar-linked countries.
- Eurozone – Public Comments from ECB President: 09:30 GMT (12:30 MSK). The market will pay attention to language surrounding the balance of risks (inflation vs growth) and hints regarding the duration of restrictive policies.
- Japan – Preliminary GDP for Q4: 23:50 GMT (02:50 MSK, February 16). Key components: domestic consumption, investments, and external demand contribution. A surprise to the upside usually supports cyclical narratives and strengthens the yen; a surprise to the downside increases caution and boosts demand for defensive assets.
How Macro Events Can Affect the Markets: Three Scenarios
- Saudi Inflation Above Expectations: increases the likelihood of a more "hawkish" rhetoric in the region, boosting interest in the dollar and short-duration instruments. For risk assets, this may indicate a more cautious start to the week.
- Japanese GDP Stronger Than Expected: grows the chance of yen appreciation, while the Nikkei 225 may respond ambiguously (a strong yen sometimes pressures exporters). On a global level—supporting the narrative of sustained growth in Asia.
- ECB’s "Hawkish" Comment: yields in Europe could rise, potentially cooling demand for stocks in Euro Stoxx 50 and enhancing sector rotation (banks/defensive sectors versus “long” growth stories).
Corporate Reports: What’s Being Released on Sunday
According to calendar schedules, Sunday typically features a limited number of earnings reports, with major issuers (the first tier of S&P 500, Euro Stoxx 50, Nikkei 225, and MOEX) more frequently reporting during weekdays. Therefore, February 15 is more of a "preparatory" day: investors refine expectations for upcoming weekly publications, read preliminary materials, and adjust risk limits.
However, individual companies (often mid-cap or international listings) may appear on calendars, leading the market to focus on a standard set of metrics: revenue, margins, cash flow, debt burden, and guidance.
Earnings Calendar: Pre-Market and After Market Close
Below are examples of companies that may be listed in calendars for this date. Keep in mind that for weekend days, some reports might be postponed or have "floating" statuses, so the final publication time should be confirmed through official announcements from the issuers.
| Company | Region / Market | Publication Window | What Investors Typically Monitor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Otter Tail Corporation | USA | After market close (estimate) | Stability of regulated revenue, capital expenditures, cash flow forecast. |
| Grupo Aeroméxico | North America (international listing) | After market close (estimate) | Passenger traffic, revenue per seat-kilometer, fuel cost, debt burden. |
| ReNew Energy Global | India / international market | Pre-market (estimate) | Capacity addition rates, contract base, margins, and debt servicing. |
| TreeHouse Foods | USA | Expected (floating status) | Pricing, input cost pressure on margins, dynamics of private labels and volumes. |
| Vitesse Energy | USA | Expected (floating status) | Hedging, capital expenditures, free cash flow, and capital return policy. |
USA, Europe, Asia, and Russia: Index Highlights
- S&P 500: primary sensitivity to rates and inflation expectations. During the weekend, futures and yield movements are more significant than individual corporate news.
- Euro Stoxx 50: focus on ECB communications and their impact on banks, industry, and the consumer sector. Even without a significant flow of reports, the European market may gain momentum from the regulator's rhetoric.
- Nikkei 225: key trigger—Japanese GDP and the yen's reaction. For global portfolios, Japan often acts as a barometer for the Asian cycle.
- MOEX: on Sundays, basic trading in stocks is closed, thus the focus is on external risk appetite, oil, dollar exchange rates, and Monday expectations. For CIS investors, it is important to assess gap scenarios upon opening, considering changes in the global backdrop.
Key Risks of the Day
- Low Liquidity: movements in futures and individual instruments during the weekend may be "noisy" and not always confirmed at the opening of major exchanges.
- Macro Surprises: unexpected inflation or GDP figures during the weekend could shift currencies and rate expectations before Monday.
- Calendar Uncertainty of Reports: weekends often see postponements or adjustments to publication times; this increases the risk of misaligning trades with events.
What Investors Should Pay Attention To
- Check the "Week Map": compile a list of key events for the next 3-5 trading days (macro, regulator decisions, major company reports) and define risk levels in advance.
- Currency Scenarios: in the dollar-yen pairing, the reaction to Japan’s GDP can be swift; this influences global portfolios and indirectly impacts commodity assets.
- ECB Signals: evaluate not only the "hawkish/dovish" tone but also specifics: risk balance, conditions for rate changes, emphasis on service inflation and wages.
- Monday Preparation for MOEX: for CIS investors, it is useful to determine an action plan for significant shifts in the external backdrop (oil, dollar, global indices)—especially if you are using leverage.
February 15, 2026, is a day when macroeconomic signals may prove more significant than the usual influx of corporate reports. Inflation from Saudi Arabia, preliminary GDP from Japan, and ECB rhetoric form a trio of factors capable of influencing currencies, rate expectations, and the sentiment of global markets ahead of the week’s opening. The practical task for investors is not to try to "catch" every movement in a thin market but to prepare scenarios, set risk limits, and approach Monday with a plan regarding key levels and events.
