Analytical Review of Major Token Unlocks for the Week of December 8–14, 2025: Impact on Token Prices, Risks for Investors, and Key Project Metrics
In the second week of December 2025, the cryptocurrency market is set to face a series of significant events with the unlocking of tokens from seven projects, totaling approximately $640 million. For crypto investors, this translates to a sharp increase in the supply of various assets, potentially affecting their prices and the overall dynamics of the crypto market. Below is an overview of the top 7 upcoming unlocks for the week (December 8–14, 2025) with crucial data and an analysis of the potential impact of these events on the market and investors.
STABLE (Stable)
- Unlock Date: December 8, 2025
- Unlock Volume: 18 billion tokens (18% of total supply)
- Estimated Value: ~$566.38 million
- Total Project Capitalization: $3.14 billion
STABLE tops the list as the largest unlock of the week. In one day, nearly one-fifth of all tokens for the project will enter circulation, an unprecedented volume equivalent to ~$566 million. Such a substantial issuance poses serious risks for short-term investments: if a significant portion of these tokens hits the market, the price of STABLE could come under considerable pressure. Investors are closely watching how key holders (such as early backers or the project team) will manage the new supply. A mass sell-off could sharply depress prices, while retaining a significant portion of tokens in long-term wallets or introducing them gradually could mitigate the impact. This massive unlock will test the liquidity of STABLE, as the market will evaluate whether demand can absorb such a significant increase in supply.
PUMP (pump.fun)
- Unlock Date: December 14, 2025
- Unlock Volume: 10 billion tokens (1% of total supply)
- Estimated Value: ~$29.61 million
- Total Project Capitalization: $2.99 billion
PUMP is the token for the Pump.fun platform (Solana launchpad for meme tokens). On December 14, 10 billion PUMP (1% of supply) worth around $30 million will be unlocked. With a high total capitalization (~$3 billion), the release of only 1% of the tokens suggests that the market can absorb this volume without significant price fluctuations. However, investors are mindful of volatility: even an additional 1% supply could heighten short-term pressure on PUMP prices, especially if market sentiment is unstable. Should the unlocked coins be destined for early investors or the team, their potential sale would serve as a litmus test for demand. A successful price retention will indicate sustained interest in PUMP, while a surge in sales may lead to a noticeable drop in its price.
APT (Aptos)
- Unlock Date: December 12, 2025
- Unlock Volume: 11.31 million tokens (0.95% of total supply)
- Estimated Value: ~$19.88 million
- Total Project Capitalization: $2.07 billion
Aptos (APT) is a layer-one blockchain backed by major investors. On December 12, a scheduled monthly unlock will take place, releasing 11.31 million APT (around 0.95% of the supply) valued at ~$20 million. Regular unlocks are embedded in the tokenomics of Aptos; releases are distributed among investors, the team, and the community fund, meaning the market partially prepares for such events in advance. Nevertheless, an increase in circulating supply by $20 million could temporarily heighten volatility and exert pressure on the price of APT if buying demand does not increase proportionally. Much will depend on market sentiment and the actions of new token recipients. Strong fundamental developments within the Aptos ecosystem (increased DeFi activity, stablecoin integration, and partnership projects) support underlying demand and may partially offset the impact of increased supply, maintaining investor interest in the token.
LINEA (Linea)
- Unlock Date: December 10, 2025
- Unlock Volume: 1.02 billion tokens (1.42% of total supply)
- Estimated Value: ~$8.16 million
- Total Project Capitalization: $570 million
Linea is a new layer-2 solution from ConsenSys aimed at enhancing Ethereum's scalability. On December 10, 1.02 billion LINEA tokens (≈1.42% of the supply) worth ~$8.16 million will enter circulation. Relative to the project size ($570 million in capitalization), this increase in supply is significant. The unlock is aimed at ecosystem development, with a substantial portion of the new tokens allocated for community rewards and strategic partners, meaning not all of the supply will flood the market immediately. Nonetheless, the sudden increase in available supply creates short-term pressure on LINEA prices. In a low liquidity environment, an additional ~$8 million might cause considerable price swings.
MOVE (Movement)
- Unlock Date: December 9, 2025
- Unlock Volume: 161.84 million tokens (1.62% of total supply)
- Estimated Value: ~$7.15 million
- Total Project Capitalization: $441 million
Movement (MOVE) is a mid-cap blockchain project (~$441 million). On December 9, the release of 161.84 million MOVE tokens (1.62% of the supply) worth ~$7.15 million is scheduled. For a project with a capitalization of less than half a billion dollars, this is a notable event. Even a relatively small additional supply can increase MOVE's volatility; in a limited liquidity environment, ~$7 million in new sales could significantly reduce the token’s price. If the primary recipients of these tokens are early investors or insiders, there is a risk of increased sales on the open market. Conversely, if part of the issuance is directed towards strategic goals for the project or if tokens are left in staking, it may alleviate immediate price pressure. The outcome of this unlock will reveal the market's ability to rapidly absorb the new issuance without compromising confidence in the project.
MOCA (Mocaverse)
- Unlock Date: December 11, 2025
- Unlock Volume: 202.29 million tokens (2.28% of total supply)
- Estimated Value: ~$4.43 million
- Total Project Capitalization: $194 million
Mocaverse (MOCA) is the token for the Animoca Brands metaverse and NFT ecosystem. On December 11, 2025, 202.29 million MOCA tokens (2.28% of the supply) valued at around $4.43 million will be unlocked. For a project with a capitalization of less than $200 million, this increase in supply is quite substantial. This event is likely tied to the conclusion of prolonged lock-ups: a significant portion of tokens from early investors in Animoca has been locked until the end of 2025 and is now entering the market. The low liquidity of MOCA means that even a few million dollars' worth of new tokens could amplify price volatility. If the unlock occurs without mass sell-offs and the price remains stable, it will strengthen confidence in the project. Otherwise, a sharp decline in the MOCA price could signal caution among investors regarding metaverse tokens.
BB (BounceBit)
- Unlock Date: December 13, 2025
- Unlock Volume: 44.70 million tokens (2.13% of total supply)
- Estimated Value: ~$4.04 million
- Total Project Capitalization: $191 million
BounceBit (BB) is another relatively small project with a capitalization of around $191 million. On December 13, 44.70 million BB tokens (2.13% of the supply) will be released from the lock-up, approximately valued at $4.04 million at current rates. Unlocking ~2% of the supply significantly increases the number of tokens in circulation, and given the limited trading volumes, an additional $4 million could upset the balance between supply and demand, leading to a decrease in the token’s price. Small altcoins often experience sharp price movements in response to increased supply: investors may rush to exit the asset in anticipation of a price drop. Much will depend on the behavior of major BB holders. If the majority of the new tokens do not flood exchanges immediately (for example, by being retained for ecosystem development), the negative impact will be limited. However, if active sales occur, the BB price is likely to fall, reflecting heightened risks in a low liquidity market.
Impact of Unlocks on the Cryptocurrency Market
The total volume of tokens unlocking during the week of December 8–14, 2025, reaches a significant ~$640 million. The simultaneous introduction of such a large volume of new tokens raises a question of liquidity: will buyers be able to quickly absorb the additional supply without a significant price imbalance? Particularly large "cliff" unlocks are prone to causing spikes in volatility. Investors and traders tend to anticipate each other's actions: acknowledging the upcoming increase in supply, some may sell assets expecting a price drop, further exerting pressure on prices even before the event itself.
Consequently, the upcoming series of unlocks presents a set of risks and opportunities for the cryptocurrency market and its participants:
- Price Pressure: an increase in circulating supply may intensify pressure on token prices, especially if demand in the market does not rise—specific tokens may depreciate in value while the market "digests" the influx of new coins.
- Volatility Increase: simultaneous unlocks of several projects heighten short-term volatility. Speculative activity increases as traders try to capitalize on news about the unlocks, resulting in sharp price fluctuations.
- Opportunities for Investors: temporary price declines resulting from unlocks may present attractive entry points for long-term investors. Those who believe in the fundamental prospects of projects might view such pullbacks as an opportunity to accumulate positions at lower prices.
Ultimately, the token unlocks this week will serve as a crucial test of the balance between supply and demand in the altcoin market. If the additional tokens are absorbed without a deep drop in quotes, it will reinforce investor confidence and signal market maturity. Conversely, a new wave of sales will reveal that caution remains and the cryptocurrency market remains sensitive to sharp changes in supply.
