Economic Events and Corporate Reports on October 5, 2025

Key Economic Events and Corporate Reports for Sunday, October 5, 2025. Market Expectations Analysis, Analyst Forecasts, and Key Guidelines for Investors Ahead of the New Trading Week.

Sunday, October 5, 2025, does not bring significant macroeconomic publications. However, investors should not relax; the first trading week of October is packed with statistics and corporate events. Noteworthy highlights include the Chinese PMI indices, the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) interest rate decision, the release of retail sales and inflation data in Europe, as well as the U.S. Labor Department's report. On the corporate front, investors are awaiting reports from Constellation Brands, McCormick & Company, PepsiCo, airline Delta Air Lines, and several others, including companies from the cannabis and technology sectors. The following sections will help clarify the significant events of the upcoming week.

Economic Calendar for the Week (Moscow Time)

On this day, the market is focused on the events of the upcoming days. Below is a tentative calendar of key macro data for the week of October 6-10 (times are given in Moscow):

Monday, October 6. No significant publications are expected. Investors will continue to evaluate U.S. labor market data released on Friday and prepare for upcoming corporate reports.
Tuesday, October 7. Official and private PMI indices for China's manufacturing and services sectors will be released. Values above 50 points signal economic expansion, while values below indicate a slowdown. Litfinans notes that these indicators significantly affect the yuan and the overall risk of emerging markets. On the same day, the RBA will announce its interest rate decision. In September, the Australian regulator maintained the base rate at 3.6%; it cited persistent inflation and global risks, leading market participants to expect the rate to remain unchanged in October.
Wednesday, October 8. Preliminary inflation data for the Eurozone will be published. Additionally, the ADP employment report for the U.S. private sector will be released (this forecast will provide guidance ahead of Friday's statistics). Later, the minutes from the latest Federal Open Market Committee meeting will be published.
Thursday, October 9. Australia will report changes in its trade balance; Switzerland will publish its consumer price index. Trade statistics will be released in Canada and Japan.
Friday, October 10. The climax of the week will be the monthly report from the U.S. Labor Department, which includes data on job creation and the unemployment rate. Litfinans emphasizes that the previous report was disappointing and triggered a rate decline, so fresh figures could influence expectations regarding future Federal Reserve policy. On the same day, ISM's services business activity index will be released.

Chinese PMI: A Global Sentiment Indicator

The first data of the week will come from China. The official manufacturing PMI (CFLP) and non-manufacturing PMI will be released early Tuesday morning. The private Caixin index generally provides a more accurate picture of the state of small and medium-sized enterprises. A reading above 50 points indicates economic expansion, while a reading below signals a slowdown. Analysts note that sustained growth in the services sector could support China's GDP growth, while a weak manufacturing PMI will put pressure on commodity prices and currencies of emerging markets. For investors from the CIS, the dynamics of Chinese indices are important due to their influence on metal prices and demand for Russian exports.

RBA Decision: Rates Unchanged, but Words Matter More

This year, the Reserve Bank of Australia has already lowered its rate to 3.6%. According to a Trading Economics review, the regulator noted in its September meeting that inflation remains above the target range and is likely to slow down only in 2025. The RBA also highlighted risks to the economy from global financial markets and did not rule out the possibility of further tightening conditions. The market expects the rate to remain unchanged; however, attention will be focused on the regulator's comments: if hints of a forthcoming rate cut appear in the statement, it could weaken the Australian dollar and support commodity prices.

Statistics from Europe and the U.S.: Inflation and Labor Market

On Wednesday, the Eurozone will publish preliminary inflation data. A slowdown in price growth will increase the likelihood of a dovish European Central Bank policy and strengthen European stocks. On the same day, the U.S. will release the ADP report, which allows for an assessment of private sector employment dynamics. The Federal Reserve minutes may reveal details of discussions concerning the tapering of its quantitative tightening program.

Friday's employment data in the U.S. will be the key event of the week. The previous report showed disappointing job growth, which led to lowered expectations for monetary policy tightening. Investors will now watch to see if the labor market slowdown is confirmed. Additionally, the ISM services index will help assess the strength of the largest sector of the U.S. economy.

U.S. Corporate Reports: Focus on Consumer Sector and Airlines

Although there are no significant reports on October 5, U.S. companies will begin publishing quarterly results starting Monday. This week, investors' main focus will be on consumer goods manufacturers and airlines.

Monday, October 6 (AMC – After Market Close):

Constellation Brands (STZ). One of the largest beer producers (Corona, Modelo) will present its second-quarter results for fiscal year 2026. Trefis analysts expect earnings around $3.42 per share with revenue near $2.48 billion, which is significantly lower than last year's figures. The research indicates that in six of the last ten reporting periods, STZ stocks showed a negative gain the day after publication. Investors will be monitoring sales growth of premium brands and margin dynamics.

Tuesday, October 7 (BMO – Before Market Open):

McCormick & Company (MKC). The global leader in spices and seasonings will hold a conference call to discuss the results of its third quarter of 2025 at 8:00 AM Eastern Time. President and CEO Lawrence Kurzius, along with CFO Michael Smith, will present the report and answer analysts' questions. Market focus will be on sales dynamics in the restaurant segment and inflationary pressures on costs.
Penguin Solutions (PENG). The computing solutions manufacturer will report after market close. Amid the rising interest in artificial intelligence, the company may show revenue growth, although no official press release was available at the time of preparation.

Wednesday, October 8 (AMC):

AZZ Inc. The engineering infrastructure company will publish its second fiscal quarter results. Investors are expecting an updated forecast for the energy equipment segment. There were no recent press releases concerning the timing of publication, but earlier analysts had predicted earnings at $1.58 per share.

Thursday, October 9 (BMO and AMC):

Delta Air Lines (DAL). The largest airline in the U.S. will conduct a live stream to announce its third-quarter results at 10:00 AM Eastern Time. The company's website states that the stream will be available on the investor page. Investors are interested in how the recovery of international travel has affected profitability and debt burden.
PepsiCo (PEP). The consumer goods market anticipates the third-quarter report for 2025. The company announced that the press release and Form 10-Q will be published at 6:00 AM (EDT), prepared management comments at 6:30, and a Q&A session with CEO Ramon Laguarta and CFO Hugh Johnston will take place at 8:15 AM. Investors will focus on sales of non-alcoholic beverages and snacks, as well as business margin in the context of inflation.
Helen of Troy (HELE) and Neogen (NEOG). Home and veterinary goods producers will report before market open. Current market estimates indicate stable earnings per share; however, investors will pay attention to sales forecasts.
Richelieu Hardware. The Canadian company announced it will release its third-quarter report on Thursday morning, and a conference call with the president and CFO will occur at 2:30 PM Eastern Time. Richelieu's figures are perceived as an indicator of the DIY product market condition in North America.
Tilray Brands (TLRY). The cannabis and beverage manufacturer announced its first-quarter results for fiscal year 2026 will be revealed before market open. In the press release, the company specified that its investor live stream would start at 8:30 AM Eastern Time; questions could be submitted via Robinhood and Say Technologies until October 8. Tilray operates in over 20 countries and manages a portfolio of 40 brands.
Applied Digital (APLD). The technology company will conduct a conference call at 5:00 PM Eastern Time to discuss the results of its first quarter of fiscal year 2026 and further development plans. The press release will be published after market close. Thanks to contracts in high-performance computing, the company may report revenue growth.
Levi Strauss (LEVI). The apparel manufacturer announced that it will hold an investor call at 5:00 PM Eastern Time, where CEO Chip Bergh and CFO Harmit Singh will discuss their third-quarter results. Key concerns are the sales dynamics of denim products and the impact of exchange rate fluctuations on margins.

Friday, October 10. No significant reports are expected on this day. The market will focus on macroeconomic statistics.

European Corporate Reports and Asian Markets

In contrast to the U.S., the European corporate calendar for the first week of October is relatively empty. Activity is focused on macroeconomics: on Tuesday, Germany and France will publish consumer price indices, while the UK will confirm its final GDP estimate for the second quarter. On Thursday, the European Central Bank's Governing Council will meet, but no interest rate decision is planned. Some small companies from Euro Stoxx 50 may release interim reports, but no major events are expected.

In Asian markets, the focus is on the aftermath of the holidays in China and data about the Japanese economy. On Wednesday, Japan will publish statistics on machinery orders, and on Thursday, the trade figures will be released. On the corporate front, investors are monitoring reports from technology and automotive companies; however, major names (Toyota, Sony) will present results later in October.

The Russian Market and the MOEX Index

On the Russian market, October 5 is a public holiday. Trading on the Moscow Exchange will resume on Monday, and investors will begin to prepare for the earnings season of the largest issuers, which traditionally starts closer to mid-month. Market participants will closely monitor price dynamics for oil and metals in light of the Chinese PMIs, as well as changes in monetary market interest rates. The MOEX index remains sensitive to global news and fluctuations of the ruble, so inflation data and the U.S. Labor Department report could also provoke volatility.

What Investors Should Pay Attention To

Although Sunday, October 5, appears to be calm, the upcoming week promises to be eventful. Investors from the CIS should consider several key factors:

Macroeconomic data from China will give signals about the recovery rates of the global economy. Strong PMIs could support commodity prices, whereas weak figures would heighten the risks of slow growth and pressure on the currencies of emerging countries.
The RBA's decision and the regulator's comments are crucial for assessing the prospects of the Australian dollar. A rate hold at 3.6% is anticipated, but any hints at future policy changes could lead to shifts in sentiment within the currency market.
Inflation and employment data in the U.S. and the Eurozone will help investors form expectations regarding interest rates. A weak U.S. labor market report could bolster stocks geared towards domestic demand, while rising wages would amplify inflation concerns.
Corporate reports will provide insight into consumer demand and the health of specific sectors. The Constellation Brands report could showcase trends in the beer sector, while PepsiCo's results would illustrate the overall resilience of the consumer segment. Reports from Delta Air Lines and Levi Strauss will shed light on the recovery pace for air travel and retail sales.
Currency risks and geopolitics. Given ongoing geopolitical tensions, the values of the ruble, euro, and yuan may experience significant fluctuations. Any unexpected news might shift investor sentiment, making it essential to manage risks and maintain a diversified portfolio.

In conclusion, while Sunday, October 5, does not bring significant news by itself, the upcoming week may substantially impact market dynamics. Investors should closely monitor macroeconomic indicators and corporate reports to respond promptly to changes and adjust investment strategies accordingly.