... inflation, interest rates, and the geopolitical situation. Experts give different estimates, taking into account current economic conditions and possible risks. The Russian Ministry of Economic Development expects the exchange rate to be around 93.8 rubles per dollar. This forecast is based on stable revenues from oil and gas exports, as well as possible support measures from the Bank of Russia. SberCIB Investment Research forecasts the exchange rate at 95 rubles per dollar, relying on high interest rates in Russia, which ...

... maintains the key interest rate at 21%, which curtails economic activity but does not stop capital outflows. Increase in Imports The gradual recovery of demand for imported goods increased the need for foreign currency, putting additional pressure on the ruble. Forecasts for 2025 Reuters Forecasts the dollar exchange rate to be between 100 and 108 rubles by the end of 2025. Ministry of Economic Development of the Russian Federation Estimates the average annual ruble exchange rate in 2025 at 96.5 rubles per dollar....

... on foreign currencies. Positive Trade Balance A surplus of exports over imports ensures a stable inflow of currency into the country. Seasonal Factors At the beginning of the year, demand for foreign currency from importers traditionally decreases. Ruble Exchange Rate Forecast Experts believe that in the coming month, the dollar exchange rate will remain in the range of 100–105 rubles, which is attributed to stable oil prices and cooling import demand. This level of the exchange rate is comfortable for the budget,...

... weakening of the ruble as imports recover and export revenues drop. The narrowing interest rate differential diminishes the attractiveness of ruble-denominated investments, which could also press on the exchange rate. However, a sharp depreciation is not forecasted – ruble assets still provide high real returns, and capital movement controls limit volatility. The Bank of Russia will factor in the exchange rate when proceeding with further easing to ensure that a weakening ruble does not spike inflation. Following ...

... economy, attempting to support business activity amid external risks. Thus, macroeconomic indicators instill cautious optimism: the global economy displays moderate growth alongside decreasing inflationary pressure. If positive trends persist, analysts' forecasts for future developments may improve in terms of GDP growth rates and price dynamics. Ruble Exchange Rate and Currency Market Dynamics Monday marks the conclusion of the July tax period in Russia, during which exporters typically sell foreign currency revenue to pay taxes, supporting the ruble's exchange rate. It is expected that after ...