... stocks. What are the risks? Possibility of market overheating Long positions in tech stocks have reached 2014 levels (excluding the pandemic period). This may indicate excessive optimism among investors. Historically, such high positions have preceded market corrections. Risks of a bubble in the tech sector The current situation is reminiscent of 2000, when overheated dot-com stocks eventually collapsed. If the market overheats, the subsequent correction could be painful for retail investors. Fed policy and ...

... economy. In times of crisis, the indicator can fall to 50-70%, creating favorable opportunities for long-term investors. Historical examples of using the Buffett indicator 1999 (dot-com crash) — The indicator rose above 150%, which foreshadowed a strong market correction in 2000-2002. 2008 (global financial crisis) — Before the crisis, the indicator was above 100%, and during the crisis, it fell below 60%. This gave investors the opportunity to buy shares at low prices. 2021 (record market overheating) — ...

... indicates that the company is accumulating fiat money while refraining from major investments, preparing for new opportunities in the market. Buffett is known for his cautious approach: a large cash reserve provides flexibility and protection during market corrections or crises, enabling substantial investments when stock prices become attractive based on fundamental analysis. Ten Consecutive Quarters as a Net Seller of Stocks Berkshire Hathaway has been a net seller in the stock market for ten consecutive ...

... consolidation is expected following the sharp rally. Bitcoin may range between $100–105K, while Ethereum could fluctuate in the $2,300–2,500 range. Investors will keep an eye on news concerning spot ETFs, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, and stock market dynamics. If the influx of investments persists, altcoins could continue their rise; however, if demand weakens, a local correction to support levels is possible. Monthly forecast: If the bullish trend continues, Bitcoin could potentially test the $110–115K marks. Even amid high volatility, pullbacks are likely to be limited, as bulls aim for new highs. In this scenario,...

... sharply collapse the entire market. Analogy with the Dot-Com Bubble of 2000 Before the crash in 2000, the concentration of the top 10 companies reached 73%; now this figure has exceeded 75%. Historically, such high levels of concentration have preceded market corrections. Rising Economic Dependence on a Small Number of Companies While the market was once widely diversified, its resilience now depends on just 10-15 companies. This could create long-term risks if even one of these companies faces challenges....