... within about 10 days. He threatened to impose 100% tariffs on Russian exports and secondary sanctions against countries buying Russian oil if no progress is made. These statements have heightened uncertainty regarding global supplies and added a “risk premium” to the price of oil. OPEC+ Actions. Oil alliance countries are gradually increasing supply. From August, total production quotas are officially raised by about 548,000 barrels per day (even more than originally planned); a similar increase ...

... conflict in Ukraine within about 10 days. He threatened to impose 100% tariffs on Russian exports and secondary sanctions against buyers of Russian oil if there is no progress. These statements raise uncertainty over future supplies and add a "risk premium" to the price of a barrel. So far, Moscow has shown no willingness to make concessions; Russian officials have called such ultimatums unacceptable, maintaining market tension. OPEC+ actions. Oil-producing countries are systematically increasing ...

... market reactions to new stringent measures against Russia. This pertains to the imposition of 100% tariffs on Russian exports and secondary sanctions against buyers of Russian oil and gas. The prospect of such moves maintains uncertainty and adds a risk premium to barrel prices. Moscow, for its part, has stated that it has no intention of altering its policy under external pressure, thus maintaining market tension. OPEC+ actions and rising production. OPEC+ countries are sequentially increasing oil supply....

... deadline for resolving the conflict in Ukraine to 10-12 days. This effectively sounded like a ultimatum threatening new sanctions against Russia and buyers of its raw materials. This increased uncertainty regarding global supplies and added a risk premium to oil prices. OPEC+ Actions: Oil-producing countries within the alliance continue to gradually increase supply. In August, a total quota increase of approximately 548,000 barrels per day is expected (higher than the original plan), and a similar ...

... avoided a trade war by agreeing on mutual tariffs and large-scale purchases of American energy resources by the European Union. This news improved investor sentiment and intensified expectations for increased demand for US oil in the future. Geopolitical Premium in Prices: Trump's ultimatum to Moscow (essentially threatening new sanctions within the next two weeks if progress on peace is not made) raises the risk of disruptions in global oil supply, which also supports prices. OPEC+ Actions and Supply: ...