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Ruble Concludes 2024 Above 100 Against Dollar: Causes, Forecasts, and Implications
... Exchange Rate Dynamics
The ruble weakened amidst a range of internal and external factors. According to the Central Bank of Russia, the national currency ended the year with the following indicators:
US Dollar Exchange Rate: +13.4% (ruble depreciation).
Euro Exchange Rate: +7%.
Chinese Yuan Exchange Rate: +6.8%.
Main Causes of Ruble Depreciation
Geopolitical Factors
The introduction of new US sanctions against Russia in November 2024 dealt a serious blow to the economy. The sanctions affected key sectors ...
Tuesday, 3 December 2024: Analysis of Key Events and Reports
... export-oriented industries, especially in sectors like machinery and chemicals.
U.S. JOLTS Report:
Strong U.S. labor market data could lead to expectations of tighter monetary policy by the Federal Reserve, strengthening the dollar and potentially weakening the euro, impacting European exporters.
API Crude Oil Stock Change:
Changes in U.S. crude oil inventories can influence global oil prices. A rise in inventories might lead to lower oil prices, benefiting European economies reliant on energy imports.
Corporate ...
Forecast of International Economy for 2025 According to Wells Fargo's "2025 International Economic Outlook"
... the country into a recession.
India:
GDP Growth: 5.7%.
The country remains relatively insulated due to strong domestic demand and supply chain diversification.
Currency Markets
U.S. Dollar: The dollar is projected to continue strengthening, with the euro expected to decline to $0.97 and the Mexican peso to 23 pesos per dollar by 2026.
Currencies of Developing Countries: The Mexican peso, Brazilian real, and Chinese yuan are anticipated to encounter significant pressure due to tariffs and slowing ...
Veterans Day in the U.S.: Impact on the Stock Market and Global Investments
... European and Asian markets often experience a reduction in trading volume, as many American investors are inactive. Additionally, reduced liquidity in the U.S. can influence the dollar’s movement, which affects other major currency pairs, such as the euro, yen, and ruble.
Commodities markets, particularly oil and metals, may also be affected. Lower liquidity can make these assets more susceptible to price swings.
Open Oil Market
, a platform where Russian companies can track international oil price ...
Veterans Day in the USA: Impact on Stock Market and Investments
... can be a temporary reduction in trading volumes, as American investors tend to be less active on this day. Additionally, the decline in trading activity in the U.S. may influence the dollar's exchange rate, impacting other currency pairs, such as the euro, yen, and ruble.
Commodity markets might also experience the effects of Veterans Day. Low liquidity on this day makes oil and other commodities more susceptible to sharp price fluctuations. Given that
Open Oil Market
serves as a platform for Russian ...