Found: 103

Macro Economic Forecast for 2025: Key Insights from the Macro Outlook 2025 Report

... affecting energy supply and supply chains. Climate Change The economic consequences of natural disasters and climate adaptation increase the burden on national budgets. Debt Load Default risks are increasing, especially in developing countries with a high dependence on external borrowing. Investor Recommendations Portfolio Diversification Increase the proportion of low-risk assets. Invest in the green economy, technology, and healthcare. Risk Hedging Utilize derivatives to protect against currency and ...

Bitcoin: Decrease in Mining Difficulty and Market Consequences

... competition to maintain the targeted 10-minute block interval. It’s important to emphasize that such a “exodus” of miners following a halving event is an anticipated phenomenon. Similar patterns have been observed in previous cycles, although the scale depends on market conditions. In this case, the situation was alleviated by the fact that the price of Bitcoin was already relatively high by the time of the halving (by spring 2024, BTC had reached historic highs, trading around $100,000). This price ...

The Russian government will extend the permit for gasoline exports for one month.

... Kirishnefteorgsintez), with a refining capacity of over 21 million tons per year, was initially built with the aim of serving the export market. A source in one of the trading companies mentioned that the decision on extending the export ban would depend on the "market situation." The Ministry of Energy plays a key role in assessing the risks based on current fuel stocks and price dynamics. As of June 24, gasoline prices at the St. Petersburg International Mercantile Exchange (SPbMTSB) ...

Starting from August 1, the ban on fuel exports will be reinstated. What does this mean for the market?

... diesel fuel and AI-92 gasoline; actual price growth rates for gasoline and diesel, which must not exceed general inflation rates; and export bans, which take effect when retail price growth accelerates sharply. "Whether this model will continue depends on the federal budget situation and the National Wealth Fund (NWF). <...> Next year, the government will have fewer resources to subsidize oil producers, with subsidies totaling 1.9 trillion rubles for the first half of 2024, including the ...

Goldman Sachs Forecast 2025: Investment Strategies and Challenges

... is expected to stabilize rates, creating a favorable environment for moderate economic growth. In Europe, the European Central Bank will adopt a more conservative stance due to ongoing energy risks. In developing markets, central bank policies will depend on commodity price growth and external debt considerations. 2. Global Economic Growth A global GDP recovery is anticipated, ranging from 3% to 4%. Asian countries, particularly China and India, will remain the engines of growth due to significant ...