... virtually unchanged from March. The composite PMI, which combines data from the services and manufacturing sectors, rose to 49.8 (up from 49.1 previously). Overall, these economic indicators suggest stagnation in the Russian economy and only slight progress in the business cycle. Given the persistent high inflation (approximately 10% annually) and the tightening of the Central Bank of Russia's policy (key rate at 21%), the PMI data closely aligned with market expectations. Key Takeaways: The services PMI index remained in the growth zone (50.1), indicating moderate activity in the services sector. The manufacturing PMI increased to ...

... support the national economy, while during periods of external stability and growth, the Central Bank may raise rates to contain inflation and stabilize the domestic market. 6. Actions of Other Central Banks The actions of the largest central banks in the world, such as the US Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank, can also influence the decisions of the Central Bank. For example, if the Federal Reserve raises interest rates, the Central Bank of Russia may follow suit to support the ruble's exchange rate and prevent capital outflows from the country. Conversely, if the ...

... Russia: Rate Cut Effect and Corporate Signals For the Russian financial market, the week ended with a major event – the Bank of Russia significantly reduced the key rate. The regulator's decision following the meeting on July 25 to lower the rate by 2 percentage points (from 20% to 18% per annum) was more decisive than most analysts had projected. This move was facilitated by ongoing inflation slowdown: annual price growth slowed to ~7-8%, significantly below the peaks seen at the beginning of the year. In its accompanying statement, the Central Bank noted that inflation expectations among the population are decreasing, while consumer ...

... year. Yearly inflation continues to slow: according to estimates from the Ministry of Economic Development, consumer price growth is on a trajectory of around 7.5% year-on-year—significantly lower than the peaks of over 12% last winter. The slowdown in inflation has opened up space for easing monetary policy. The Bank of Russia, in its accompanying commentary, noted the decline in inflation expectations among the population and weak consumer demand, allowing for an improved inflation forecast for the end of 2025 (to around 6-7% compared to previously expected 7-8%). The ...

... circulation period is 5 years. This instrument is available to qualified investors, and its preliminary collection of applications will begin on December 10, 2024. The emergence of silver bonds can have a significant impact on the debt securities market in Russia. In the context of rising inflation and instability of financial markets, pegging to the price of silver can become a way for investors to diversify their investments and protect their capital. Silver bonds are an innovative way of investing, combining the advantages of debt securities ...