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Buffett Indicator Hits Records: A Sign of Overheating in the US Stock Market
... approximately 140%, followed by a collapse of tech stocks and a large bear market that brought the ratio back to a more sustainable level. Similarly, prior to the
2008 crisis
, the indicator exceeded 100%, reflecting overheating largely due to the housing bubble; the subsequent financial crash sharply reduced market capitalization relative to GDP.
Even in more recent history, the trend holds. By late 2021, the market-to-GDP ratio reached approximately 170% amidst a post-pandemic rally, only for the market to experience a significant correction in 2022 (indices ...
China's Economy in 2024: 5% Growth, Key Successes and Challenges
... products. In addition, European countries are increasing criticism of low prices for Chinese goods, which also poses a threat to exports.
Real Estate Crisis
Real estate investment fell by 10.6%, the most severe decline in recent years. Oversupply in the housing market, falling prices, and problems for developers create additional risks for the economy.
Demographic Decline
In 2024, China's population fell by 1.4 million people. This reduces the labor force, reduces consumer demand, and increases the burden on ...
Economic Events Calendar for the Week of December 16–20, 2024
... December: Previous — 12.50.
16:30
United States:
Retail Sales for November: Previous — 0.40% growth, Forecast — 0.50%.
17:15
United States:
Industrial Production for November: Previous — -0.30%, Forecast — 0.10%.
18:00
United States:
NAHB Housing Market Index for December: Previous — 46.00.
Investor Recommendation:
This day will focus on the UK’s unemployment rate, Germany’s ZEW Economic Sentiment Index, and US retail sales and industrial production figures. Retail sales and industrial production ...
Cryptocurrency News, Saturday, July 26, 2025 - Bitcoin Holds at All-Time High; Ethereum and XRP at Multi-Year Heights
... upward trajectory, although the growth rates vary: some projects are rapidly appreciating amid positive news, while others are pausing to await new growth drivers. Meanwhile, the approaching Federal Reserve meeting and the release of a crucial White House report on cryptocurrency policy (scheduled for July 30) is prompting some market participants to act more cautiously, somewhat tempering excessive euphoria.
Bitcoin Maintains Record Positions
Bitcoin (BTC), the largest cryptocurrency, is currently trading around $120,000, having slightly retraced from its historical peak (around ...
Economic Events and Corporate Reports — Wednesday, August 20, 2025: UK Inflation, LPR Rate in China, and Fed Protocols
... Bank of New Zealand is expected to resume easing policy in light of a cooling economy. A 25 basis points cut in the Official Cash Rate (OCR) to 3.00% is anticipated. The easing of monetary policy in New Zealand aims to support domestic demand and the housing market. The RBNZ's decision may impact the New Zealand dollar (NZD) and set the tone for other small open economies' central banks balancing inflation and growth.
Inflation: UK, Eurozone, and Russia
UK:
The July CPI data will show price dynamics after ...