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Starting from August 1, the ban on fuel exports will be reinstated. What does this mean for the market?
... general inflation rates; and export bans, which take effect when retail price growth accelerates sharply.
"Whether this model will continue depends on the federal budget situation and the National Wealth Fund (NWF). <...> Next year, the government will have fewer resources to subsidize oil producers, with subsidies totaling 1.9 trillion rubles for the first half of 2024, including the damping mechanism, reverse excise, and investment supplements. This will likely lead to changes in the fuel market regulation model," Tereshkin believes.
The "manual regulation" scheme with the temporary export ban has become a tool that the market will have to live with ...
Where to Invest One Million Rubles: Medium-Term Investments
... from foreign stocks. Over a 1–3 year horizon, it is important to remember that exchange rates are unpredictable.
Mutual Funds and IIA.
For beginners, mutual funds (PIFs and ETFs) are convenient. For example, accessible options include bond funds (government or corporate), the Moscow Exchange index fund (or global market). Mutual funds offer professional management, although they charge fees. The IIA allows investment in stocks and bonds with a tax incentivized deduction (13% from expenditures up to 400,000 ₽ per year). PIFs within an IIA can yield additional deductions. Taxes on the sale of securities and dividends are imposed at the standard rate (13%/15%)....
How to Choose Investment Assets in an Unstable Market
... undervalued stocks. A "value investing" strategy can be advantageous if the investor is willing to commit to long-term investments and believes in the growth potential of the companies.
Bonds
Bonds are more stable assets compared to stocks, but ... ... yields depend on current interest rates. In unstable market conditions, it is advisable to consider the following types of bonds:
Government bonds. Government bonds, especially from high credit-rating countries, are considered the safest assets. During a crisis,...
How to conduct fundamental analysis?
... growth and the Fed raises the key interest rate, a fundamental analyst expects the dollar to strengthen – a rate increase makes investments in dollar assets more attractive, increasing demand for the currency. On the contrary, a soft monetary policy (lowering ... ... usually weakens the national currency.
Political events also play a major role in the currency market. Elections, changes in government, referendums, international agreements or conflicts – all of this can cause fluctuations in rates, as it affects ...
Where to Invest One Million Rubles: Long-Term Investments
... funds for the long term.
5% – Bank deposits.
A reserved portion of the portfolio for liquidity and guaranteed income (up to 15–20% per annum) without market risks.
This distribution combines dynamic growth (stocks and bonds) with capital protection (government bonds, deposits, gold). A more aggressive investor may increase the share of stocks, while a conservative investor may raise the share of bonds and ruble deposits.
Long-term investments of one million rubles require diversification and careful risk management. The main ideas: combine instruments with different returns and risks, focusing on the goal of capital growth while considering inflation. Utilizing tax advantages (IIS,...