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Beware of Investment Myths
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3. You Should Shift to Defensive Stocks if You Think the Market Will Crash
Every few months, analysts and television experts begin to predict an imminent stock market crash. Subsequently, analysts recommend defensive stocks capable of withstanding a recession or bear market. These include companies in consumer goods and utilities, which are less sensitive to economic cycles.
Defensive companies are indeed less susceptible to economic downturns. However, here’s the catch: most predicted bear markets ...
An expert explained how the situation around the GIS "Sudzha" will affect Europeans.
... nuclear, and hydropower plants.
Finally, gas savings in energy-intensive industrial sectors will also have an effect. One sign of this savings is the PMI Manufacturing index for the eurozone, which has remained below the 50-point mark (the boundary of recession in manufacturing industries) since July 2022. In July 2024, the PMI Manufacturing index for the eurozone stood at 45.8 points. Not surprisingly, total gas imports to the EU in July 2024 were 16% lower than in July 2022 (800 million vs. 954 million ...
Forecast of International Economy for 2025 According to Wells Fargo's "2025 International Economic Outlook"
... from 4.6% in 2024).
Key Challenges: New U.S. tariffs, weak domestic demand, and ineffectiveness of economic stimulants.
Mexico:
GDP Growth: 1.3%.
High dependence on U.S. exports and limited monetary and fiscal policy space could lead the country into a recession.
India:
GDP Growth: 5.7%.
The country remains relatively insulated due to strong domestic demand and supply chain diversification.
Currency Markets
U.S. Dollar: The dollar is projected to continue strengthening, with the euro expected to decline ...
What Factors Influence the Central Bank's Key Rate?
... rate of economic growth and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) are also crucial factors. During periods of economic expansion, the Central Bank may increase the key rate to prevent the economy from "overheating" and stabilize inflation. In times of recession or crisis, the Central Bank may lower the rate to support economic growth, make credit more accessible for businesses, and encourage investment.
3. Unemployment Rate
The labor market situation and unemployment levels are important factors for ...
Friday, November 15, 2024: Key Economic Events for Investors
... Production and Consumer Sentiment: Investors will closely watch U.S. production and consumer confidence data, as these indicators affect economic growth expectations. Positive sentiment and production growth support U.S. markets, while declines may raise recession concerns.
China’s New Home Prices: The real estate market in China is crucial for growth, with rising prices indicating demand strength. Investors will monitor this data for insights into China’s economic stability.
Oil Market: The Baker ...