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What is the Leading Economic Index (LEI) and how can an investor use it?
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The main components of the index are:
The index includes indicators that measure various aspects of economic activity, such as:
Average hours worked per week in manufacturing.
New jobless claims.
Manufacturing orders for new goods.
Building permits.
Changes in stock prices.
Consumer sentiment.
New credit and money supply levels.
These indicators vary by country, but the purpose of the index remains the same: to assess the future state of the economy.
Why is the LEI important?
Predicting recessions and economic expansions: ...
Will production fall in Iran and Venezuela? Should the market expect a sharp rise in prices or increased competition among exporters?
... geopolitical events affecting oil production in these countries. The article discusses how the political crisis in Venezuela and the escalation of the conflict between Israel and Iran may impact the global oil market. Special attention is given to potential changes in oil production and export volumes, as well as their effects on global prices and competition among exporters. The article provides a deep analysis of the current situation and forecasts for the future development of the oil industry.
At the turn of July and August, geopolitics once again took center stage in the oil market....
Friday, November 29, 2024: Analysis of Key Events and Reports
... growth rate may strengthen the Swiss franc and positively impact European markets, while a lower rate could have the opposite effect.
10:00 GMT: Eurozone – Preliminary Consumer Price Index (CPI) for November
The Eurozone's preliminary CPI measures the change in the price level of a basket of goods and services. It is a key indicator of inflation. Higher inflation readings may prompt the European Central Bank (ECB) to consider tightening monetary policy, affecting the euro and European bond markets.
10:30 GMT: United ...
Macroeconomic Events and Quarterly Reports of Major Companies on July 22, 2025: Reports from Coca-Cola, RTX, Equifax, SAP, UniCredit
... decrease in sales will indicate whether the repair boom continues or if high mortgage rates are cooling the market.
PulteGroup (PHM) and D.R. Horton (DHI) – the largest home builders in the US. Their metrics (number of homes sold, new orders, average prices) are critically important against the backdrop of rising mortgage rates and changes in the real estate market. If builders show confident growth, it will serve as a positive signal for the entire housing market. Conversely, weak data could heighten concerns about housing affordability for buyers and slow down the construction ...
Economic Events and Corporate Reports - Friday, July 25, 2025: EU-China Summit, CBR Rate, Durable Goods Orders (USA)
... monetary policy. If the Central Bank of Russia meets expectations and lowers the rate, it could stimulate the growth of bond prices and stocks on the Moscow Exchange. However, an unexpected pause or cautious rhetoric in the statement could disappoint ... ... will assess how the company manages to maintain sales of toothpaste, detergents, and other everyday goods amid inflation and changing consumer behavior. The Colgate-Palmolive report will serve as an indicator of the consumer sector's resilience: sustained ...