... the rate steady at its July 30 meeting, indicating that the tightening cycle is coming to an end. A softening of monetary policy supports investor interest in raw materials, including oil. As a result, despite the balancing effect of demand and supply factors, oil prices remain sensitive to any economic news or unexpected actions by producers. Overall, the oil market is showing moderate equilibrium this Tuesday. Brent prices are situated within the lower part of the range observed in recent months (~$68–70) after corrections, remaining vulnerable ...

... Russia's GDP growth slowdown in Q4 2024: CBR forecast, reasons and prospects The Central Bank of Russia (CBR) recently updated its forecast for the fourth quarter of 2024, stating that GDP growth will slow to 2-3%. This revision is due to a number of economic factors, including monetary policy tightening and rising inflation. For the Russian economy, business and investment climate, this slowdown is becoming an important indicator signaling current economic trends and possible risks on the horizon. Reasons ...

... Maintain diversification and caution. Mixed signals from the day's offerings (macro statistics, regulator decisions, corporate surprises) may amplify volatility. Allocating investments across various sectors and regions will help reduce risk: a negative factor in one area (be it a weak corporate report or economic indicator) will not excessively impact the entire portfolio.

The activity of the mergers and acquisitions (M&A) market in Russia has reached a three-year low, raising concerns among investors and analysts. The reasons for the decline in activity are linked to changes in the economic situation in Russia, including an increase in the key interest rate and the exit of non-residents from the market. This article will explore the main factors affecting the current state of the M&A market and provide a forecast for 2025. We will examine how changes in company strategies and the investment climate may influence future deals and asset profitability. Familiarize yourself with our financial ...

... increases are expected beyond OPEC: Chevron has obtained permission to resume production in Venezuela, potentially bringing over 200,000 barrels per day back to the market. Thus, the expansion of supply from OPEC+ and other sources, along with ongoing economic risks, exerts a "cooling" effect on oil prices. Macroeconomic Factors. At the end of July, commercial oil inventories in the U.S. fell more than anticipated, reflecting robust consumption and preventing sharp declines in oil prices. At the same time, incoming signals regarding a global economic slowdown are tempering ...