Found: 328

Wednesday, November 20, 2024: Key Economic Events of the Day

... benchmark for lending rates in the country. Any adjustment could affect borrowing costs and economic activity within China. Impact on Europe: As a major trading partner, Europe's export-driven industries may experience shifts in demand based on China's economic policies. A reduction in the LPR could stimulate Chinese demand for European goods, benefiting sectors such as automotive and luxury goods. Impact on the United States: The U.S. economy, with its substantial trade ties to China, could see changes in export volumes and supply chain dynamics. A lower LPR might lead to increased Chinese imports of American products, positively affecting industries like agriculture and technology. UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) for October (10:00 GMT) The ...

The Death Cross of Moving Averages: A Reversal Model

... sentiment surveys Institutional Flow Confirmation: ongoing mutual fund outflows Month 2-3 Monitoring: Trend Persistence: MA(50) continues to decline, widening gap with MA(200) Earnings Deterioration: companies begin cutting guidance Macro Confirmation: economic indicators confirm slowdown Market Structure Changes: persistent high correlations, low dispersion Adaptive Response Protocol: Early Warning (Weeks 1-2): reduce Death Cross position sizes by 50% Confirmation Phase (Weeks 3-4): restore full position sizes if confirmed Trend Following (Months 2-3): ...

What is a Basis Point?

... and Central Banks Central banks often announce interest rate changes in basis points. For example, if the U.S. Federal Reserve raises its key interest rate by 50 basis points, this represents a 0.5% increase. Investors closely monitor interest rate changes, as they affect the availability of credit and the overall economic situation. How Basis Points are Applied in Practice 1. Impact on Bond Yields: Bond yields can be adjusted by just a few basis points, and this can represent a significant change. For instance, if the yield on government bonds increases from 2....

Macro Economic Forecast for 2025: Key Insights from the Macro Outlook 2025 Report

... challenges include inflationary pressures and limited access to foreign investments. Key Risks Geopolitical Instability Heightened trade wars, particularly between the U.S. and China. Regional conflicts affecting energy supply and supply chains. Climate Change The economic consequences of natural disasters and climate adaptation increase the burden on national budgets. Debt Load Default risks are increasing, especially in developing countries with a high dependence on external borrowing. Investor Recommendations ...

The Fate of the Dollar and the Prospects for BRICS Currency: What's Behind Putin's Statements?

... infrastructure. The dollar still occupies an important place in the world economy; however, U.S. actions are gradually pushing countries toward seeking alternatives. The prospect of developing a BRICS currency remains a relevant topic in international economics, and while its implementation may be a distant prospect, emerging trends indicate potential significant changes in the global financial system. At the same time, transitioning to alternatives to the dollar will require considerable efforts and long-term strategies that BRICS countries are prepared to discuss and develop. The fate of the dollar and the possibility ...