The government only managed to announce the possible lifting of the ban on gasoline exports from Russia, and within ten days, the stock prices of AI-92 rose by almost 5%, and AI-95 by 7%. Naturally, concerns arose that the resumption of gasoline exports would accelerate its price increase, including at the retail level, where prices continue to rise this year, despite the traditions, at the end of the year, after the high-demand ...

... this trend, and what does the OPEN OIL MARKET forecast for the future? A column by Sergey Tereshkin for RBC Companies. In the fuel market, there continues to be an accelerated increase in prices for AI-98 gasoline. While retail prices for AI-92 and AI-95 gasoline rose by 0.1% during the week of October 15–21, 2024, AI-98 gasoline prices increased by 0.6%. This discrepancy is even more pronounced in the cumulative dynamics over the first nine months of the year: compared to the end of 2023, ...

... situation in Crimea has stabilized, with daily consumption at 57-60 tankers. Recently, 63 tankers arrived on the peninsula, with an additional 500 tankers en route. Current Situation on the Fuel Market Recall that last week, the exchange price for AI-92 and AI-95 exceeded 72,000 and 82,000 rubles per ton, respectively. Despite the full ban on gasoline exports implemented on August 1, prices for both grade types rose on the exchange by 5.9% and 2.8%, respectively. Today, prior to the meeting in the cabinet,...

... diminish. However, there is a significant distinction from last year's gasoline situation. At that time, the primary price increase was concentrated in premium gasoline grades like AI-98 and above, which rose by 20.2%. In contrast, regular grades AI-92 and AI-95 experienced only modest increases above the national average, with rises of 9.7% and 9.8%, respectively. This year, however, the primary contributors to the price hike are AI-92 at 4.8% and AI-95 at 4.5%, while the premium grades have seen only ...

... gasoline prices will halt after the export ban is introduced. We analyze the possible consequences for the domestic market. Retail gasoline prices have accelerated their growth. According to Rosstat, from July 8 to July 14, the prices for AI-92 and AI-95 increased by 24 and 25 kopecks, respectively. Over the week, prices rose by 0.4 percent, significantly outpacing the inflation growth rate during the same period, which was 0.02 percent. However, if we consider the statistics since the beginning ...