... Producer Price Index (PPI) for June, likely confirming a decline in energy prices and easing inflationary pressures. Later, at 15:30 MSK, data on the U.S. trade balance for June will be released, showing how tariffs and changes in external demand affect exports and imports. Additionally, the ISM index for the U.S. services sector (17:00 MSK) will provide an assessment of business activity in the largest sector of the American economy. Ruble Exchange Rate and Currency Market Dynamics The Russian ruble ...

... dollar exchange rate on the Moscow Exchange remained around 77–79 rubles. This outcome was anticipated, as the easing of policy had already been factored into market expectations. Previously, the ruble was supported by a combination of high rates, export revenues, and squeezed imports, contributing to inflation control. In the second half of the year, experts expect a moderate weakening of the ruble as imports recover and export revenues drop. The narrowing interest rate differential diminishes ...

... production cut agreements. Publication of corporate reports, including second quarter and first half of 2025 results from several companies (e.g., TGC-1 and Safmar Financial Investments (SFIN) ). Completion of the tax period in Russia, which may impact export revenue sales volumes and the dynamics of the ruble exchange rate. Expectations for the upcoming meeting of the U.S. Federal Reserve ( Fed ) later in the week, shaping forecasts on interest rates and inflation. Global Markets: Investor Expectations ...

... Geopolitical Importance Why it matters: Discussions at the G20 Summit often drive international economic strategies, with topics on Ukraine, European stability, and the U.S. post-election landscape. Recommendations: Watch for statements on sanctions, energy exports, and global trade. Oil prices and the ruble could react to any hints of sanction relief. Inflation Data from EU, Canada, and UK Why it matters: High inflation in major economies can impact euro, pound, and CAD rates. Recommendations: Look for ...

... Severstal – one of the largest steel producers in Russia. The company is expected to report financial results for Q2 (IFRS), which will provide insights into the state of the metallurgy sector: steel production levels, prices for rolled metal, and export volumes. In the first half of 2025, global steel prices remained relatively stable, while domestic demand in Russia was moderate. If Severstal reports solid profits and margins, it will confirm the industry's adaptation to sanctions and redirection ...