... bank deposits are minimal: the state deposit insurance system compensates for losses of ruble deposits up to 1.4 million ₽. Early withdrawal may result in penalties and the loss of some accrued interest. However, inflation and the dynamics of the key rate set by the Bank of Russia impact real yields—historically, the purchasing power of ruble deposits has declined. For instance, over the last decade, real income for deposit holders has decreased by almost 18%. Taxation. Starting in 2024, interest ...

... 13:00 MSK: Inflation data could impact the euro and ECB policy. U.S. Housing Starts (October) — 16:30 MSK: Reflects the real estate market's health. Canada CPI (October) — 16:30 MSK: Insights into Canadian inflation may affect the Bank of Canada’s rate decisions. Key Central Bank Speakers: Elderson (EU): Likely to emphasize stability and inflation control. Bank of England Governor: Expected to comment on UK economic conditions post-Brexit. Schmid (U.S.): Likely to address U.S. economic prospects. Focus Points: ...

... Russian ruble weakened slightly over the week: the official exchange rate of the dollar set by the Central Bank of Russia for the weekend rose to ~79.55 ₽ (from ~78.86 ₽ the previous week). Pressure on the ruble intensified after the CBR lowered the key rate, as well as due to importers' demand for foreign currency against the backdrop of a recovery in imports. Other CIS currencies also showed decreased dynamics: for instance, the Kazakh tenge is holding around 542 KZT per $1, close to multi-month lows....

... alleviate some geopolitical uncertainty, supporting the markets. At the same time, the rate of price growth in the US has slowed, with the Fed sending “dovish” signals. At the upcoming meeting (July 29–30), the Federal Reserve is likely to keep the key rate at the current level of 5.25%. Moreover, futures already imply about a 60% probability of a rate cut by September, given the moderate inflation. These expectations of additional stimulus in the second half of the year are driving stock prices, particularly ...

... portfolios, leading to unexpected market movements. Macroeconomic Events: Rates, Inflation, and PMI Central Bank Decisions Brazil (00:30 MSK): The Central Bank of Brazil will announce its interest rate decision on the night of Thursday. A hold on the key interest rate at 15%, a record high for the last two decades, is expected. Inflation in Brazil has dropped to around 5%, remaining above the target of 3%, which suggests the regulator will maintain a pause in its easing cycle. Any unexpected movement in rates ...