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The rise in diesel prices may accelerate by the end of summer, but it will not exceed inflation.
... diesel has another similarity to AI-95 gasoline. The exchange price for winter diesel is not included in the conditions for subsidy payments. These payments compensate part of the difference between the indicative price set by the government and the export price of fuel. The subsidy is paid to oil companies for wholesale fuel deliveries to the domestic market, with a deviation from the indicative price of no more than 10% for gasoline and no more than 20% for diesel. For gasoline, only the AI-92 price is considered,...
Energy Sector News, Monday, July 28, 2025: Brent around $70, EU gas reserves near 70%, gasoline export ban
... If necessary, the ban may be extended until the end of September.)
Increased Monitoring and Dampening Measures.
Monitoring of fuel trading on exchanges has been intensified, and a dampening mechanism has been activated to limit excessive profits from fuel exports (when the export alternative exceeds the baseline level, payments to oil producers decrease, reducing incentives for exporting fuel).
Mandatory Exchange Sales.
Consideration is being given to increasing mandatory exchange sale quotas (from the ...
Regulatory Costs: Can the Rise in Gasoline Prices Be Stopped? (FORBES)
... exports, which became effective on May 17. According to S&P Global Platts, Russia's maritime gasoline exports rose from 99,000 barrels per day (bpd) in May 2024 to 150,000 bpd in June, with gasoline's share in Russia's total maritime petroleum product exports increasing from 4% to 7%. While fuel oil and diesel continue to dominate Russian petroleum exports, the increased gasoline exports amidst production cuts heighten the risk of shortages in the domestic market.
In spring and summer 2024, the Russian fuel market entered another phase ...
The export ban has slowed the growth of exchange prices for gasoline.
Commentary for "Rossiyskaya Gazeta".
The article “The Export Ban Slowed the Growth of Exchange Gasoline Prices” discusses the impact of the August 2024 ban on gasoline exports on the Russian fuel market. Despite the export restrictions, exchange prices for gasoline remain close to annual highs. The price increase is particularly notable for AI-95 gasoline, which is attributed to a mismatch between consumption patterns and exchange sales volumes....
Experts assessed the consequences of lifting the ban on gasoline exports
... gasoline or outright restrictions on diesel exports.
According to Tereshkin, oil companies traditionally have a "window" for raising diesel prices in October and November during the transition from summer and mid-season diesel to winter-grade fuel. If diesel price growth slows in December, an export ban is unlikely.
Translated using ChatGPT.
Source: https://rg.ru/2024/11/13/ekspert-toplivnogo-rynka-gusev-otkrytie-eksporta-benzina-iz-rf-vpolne-oprav...