... It signaled a slowdown in economic activity through indicators such as falling building permits and falling stock prices. These warning signs allowed many investors and companies to prepare for the recession by adjusting their strategies. The Leading Economic Indicators Index is a tool that allows investors and economists to anticipate changes in the economy, making it an important element for decision-making and risk management.

... eased: a recent compromise between Washington and Brussels has prevented a new tariff war, which has supported risk appetite. Wall Street, which set records in July, is facing volatility amid mixed signals. Investors are evaluating the prospects of an economic slowdown, but strong reports from tech giants are sustaining interest in risk assets, while some capital is flowing into safe “harbors.” Central bank policy is in the spotlight: the U.S. Federal Reserve has paused and may soon shift to stimulative measures, while the Bank of Russia, after a recent rate cut, is considering ...

... 11:00 MSK – Ifo Business Climate Index in Germany (July). The largest survey of the business environment in Germany: a slight drop in the index from around 88.5 to 88 points is expected, reflecting companies' cautiousness amid weak demand and external risks. The Ifo indicator is an important barometer of economic sentiment: a decline would heighten concerns of stagnation in Europe's largest economy, especially if current situation assessments and expectations worsen. Conversely, an unexpected increase in the index could provide a positive surprise for ...

... accordingly. Recommendations for Investors: Monitor Economic Indicators: Stay informed about the release of key economic indicators, such as GDP growth rates, unemployment figures, and inflation data. These metrics provide insights into the overall economic environment and can influence market trends. Diversify Portfolios: Diversification can help mitigate risks associated with market volatility. Investing across various sectors and geographic regions can reduce the impact of adverse events in a single market or industry. Stay Informed on Corporate Earnings: Regularly review earnings reports from major ...

... between major economies are expected to foster stability. Central Bank Speakers: Bank of Japan Governor: Investors anticipate insights on potential easing of monetary policy due to the yen’s weakness. Kent (Australia): May emphasize Australia’s economic resilience, growth rates, and inflation risks. Christine Lagarde and ECB Representatives (Nagel, De Guindos, Lane): Lagarde’s comments could provide clarity on the ECB’s plans for inflation management. Goolsbee (U.S.): Expected to discuss the U.S. economic outlook and potential Fed decisions,...