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Impact of Trump's Inauguration on the Ruble Exchange Rate: Analysis and Forecasts
... investments.
Moderate Ruble Weakening
According to estimates from experts consulted by "RBC Investments," the year 2025 is likely to bring about moderate weakening of the ruble. They suggest that the dollar rate will fluctuate within the range ... ... and the dollar's exchange rate could temporarily rise to 110-120 rubles. These fluctuations may also be influenced by global trends, such as changes in oil and gas prices, which are critical for the Russian economy.
Predictions for the Stock Market:
The ...
Wholesale prices for gasoline in Russia have started to decrease.
... maintenance season at refineries. In mid-August, the government extended the ban from September 1 until the end of the year.
The trend of falling exchange prices for gasoline is expected to continue in the coming months, according to Alexander Kotov, head ... ... oil companies will keep gasoline and diesel prices in check until the end of the year, but a price surge may occur in early 2025 due to the lifting of the export embargo and the annual excise tax increase.
Fuel prices at gas stations will continue ...
Why the ban on gasoline exports did not stop the rise in gas station prices
... the Federal Antimonopoly Service (FAS), which may act sooner than year-end to curb price growth.
Tereshkin notes an unusual trend this year: due to faster price increases for AI-98, oil companies may hold back diesel price hikes, which traditionally ... ... is likely to be upheld for diesel but breached for gasoline. As a result, the export ban on gasoline could extend into early 2025.
Gusev believes it may be time to revisit state price regulation. The wholesale market creates more problems than it solves ...
The oil market will become oversupplied by the end of 2024.
... barrels per day.
Sergey Tereshkin, CEO of the OPEN OIL MARKET platform for oil products and raw materials, explains this trend with the following factors:
Easing of OPEC+ quotas: Saudi Arabia, Russia, and other alliance members plan to increase ... ... expected to remain stable at around $80 per barrel until the end of 2024, with a potential price decline anticipated in early 2025.
According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), in the second quarter of 2024, the gap between oil demand ...
Buffett Indicator Hits Records: A Sign of Overheating in the US Stock Market
... bubble; the subsequent financial crash sharply reduced market capitalization relative to GDP.
Even in more recent history, the trend holds. By late 2021, the market-to-GDP ratio reached approximately 170% amidst a post-pandemic rally, only for the market ... ... and Government Intervention
Market dynamics are influenced not only by economic indicators but also by political factors. In 2025, investors' attention is focused on the actions of the
Donald Trump
administration. In an effort to sustain the market rally,...