... macroeconomic indicators from the Eurozone and Germany, as well as India's rate decisions, shape the overall sentiment in commodity and currency markets. For Russia, it's crucial to focus on oil price dynamics and U.S. rig activity, as these directly impact budget revenues and ruble stability. These events serve as a guide for traders and investors to make balanced and strategically important decisions.

... and gas, financial services, metallurgy, and technology. Sectors that are likely to benefit from the easing of sanctions: Energy sector - Russia will once again be able to strengthen its position in the markets of Europe and Asia, which will increase budget revenues. Financial services - Russian banks, having gained access to international payment systems, will be able to improve the quality of their services, which will increase their profitability. Technology and telecom - the lifting of sanctions ...

... set of fundamental factors. Firstly, the tightening of regulatory barriers has significantly complicated the exit of non-residents from Russian business: the regulations introduced at the end of 2024 entail hefty fines and additional payments to the budget, totaling up to 95% of the asset value, effectively blocking most transactions involving foreign capital. Secondly, high financing costs diminish project attractiveness: the Bank of Russia's key rate has been raised to 21%, making loans expensive....

... Estate and Other Assets Real estate is traditionally one of the primary investment avenues during times of rising household prosperity. Higher wages improve housing affordability: more families can save up for a mortgage down payment or expand their budget for buying property. In the short term, high interest rates make mortgages costly, but the expectation of future rate cuts, combined with income growth, sets the stage for an upswing in the housing market. In the medium term, demand for housing ...

... to around ~80 rub/$ amid balancing between high export revenues and geopolitical risks. On Tuesday, market participants anticipate decisions from the Ministry of Finance and the Central Bank of Russia regarding currency operations volumes under the budget rule for August. If the regulator resumes significant foreign currency purchases to replenish reserves, the ruble may come under pressure. Conversely, modest interventions or a pause could give the market a breather. The external backdrop remains ...