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Gasoline prices are still rising at gas stations, but they are already decreasing on the exchange.
... rate of 5.34% over the same period.
On the stock exchange, however, the opposite trend is observed. Gasoline quotes have been declining since the end of last week. The price of AI-95 dropped by 5.5%, while AI-92 decreased by almost 10%. However, retail fuel prices in Russia tend to respond only to prolonged and significant upward or downward movements in exchange quotes. Therefore, it is unlikely that retail prices will start falling as early as next week.
As noted by Sergey Tereshkin, head of the OPEN ...
The Circle: What Do the Russian Government's Plans to Allow Gasoline Exports Mean?
... not officially been lifted yet, Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak has already announced its cancellation.
Why was the ban necessary?
Export restrictions served as a "stick" with which the government tried to ensure that the growth in retail fuel prices did not exceed the general inflation rate. So far, this rule has only been followed in the diesel market: by November 18, the accumulated inflation since the start of the year was 7.4%, while retail gasoline prices grew by 9%, and diesel fuel prices ...
Gasoline Stock Market Prices Hit Records: Reasons and Prospects for Gas Station Prices
... market quotes have been hitting record highs since the beginning of the week, as if the complete ban on gasoline exports introduced just a week ago had never happened. The market did not anticipate a cooling period or a gradual decline in wholesale fuel prices. This suggests that retail prices are unlikely to stabilize anytime soon, having already surpassed the average inflation rate in the country since the beginning of the year (4.61% versus 4.51%).
There is indeed an understanding that prices at gas stations should not rise ...
Experts have revealed which fuel will experience the highest price increase at gas stations in 2025.
... increases both in wholesale and retail.
Tereshkin believes that the mere separation of payments for different grades of gasoline will not have an impact.
He argues that changes in the calculation of dampener subsidies will not significantly affect retail fuel prices. The dampener only applies to exchange trading, which accounts for only 15% of wholesale fuel sales. On the other hand, the dampener will not affect AI-98 gasoline, which will remain the leader in price increases.
Translated using ChatGPT
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The rise in diesel prices may accelerate by the end of summer, but it will not exceed inflation.
... for diesel, the summer grade.
Energy expert Kirill Rodionov noted that oil companies are looking for loopholes to increase their production and sales margins without the risk of losing subsidies or facing export bans. These loopholes exist in the retail fuel market and in the exchange prices for AI-95 gasoline and winter diesel fuel. These segments will continue to pose risks for fuel price hikes.
According to Tereshkin, seasonal price increases for diesel could still occur even if winter diesel were included in the subsidy parameters....