... not change significantly (or suddenly rises), market participants will draw corresponding conclusions about employment dynamics: stability will support expectations of a “soft landing” for the economy, while an increase in unemployment may amplify recession fears and push the Fed toward a more flexible rhetoric. Simultaneously, the Philadelphia Fed will release its August manufacturing index. The Philadelphia Index is one of the early signals of the state of US industry for the current month (along ...

... permits. Changes in stock prices. Consumer sentiment. New credit and money supply levels. These indicators vary by country, but the purpose of the index remains the same: to assess the future state of the economy. Why is the LEI important? Predicting recessions and economic expansions: The LEI is considered one of the leading indicators for determining economic cycles. Investment Strategies: For investors, it is a tool to understand the overall state of the market and predict profitable sectors. Support ...

... combating inflation to stimulating the economy. US stocks remain overall in positive territory for the month, but volatility has increased. Sectors sensitive to the economic cycle (such as industrials and commodities) have come under slight pressure due to recession fears. Meanwhile, the technology sector continues to receive support: investors are betting that a pause (and potential pivot) in the Fed's policy will enable growth companies to maintain high valuations. Analysts note that the FOMO effect ("fear ...

... economic cooling and relieve some inflationary pressure. 12:00 (Germany) – ZEW Economic Sentiment Index (August): This survey reflects the sentiments of analysts and investors regarding the German economy. A decrease in the index will indicate rising recession concerns in Europe's largest economy, while improved sentiment may inspire the European markets. 14:00 – OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report: OPEC will publish its assessment of the oil market, including data on production, demand, and inventories....

... the decrease in value could exceed 10%. However, changes may not only affect the stock market. Trade wars adversely impact overall investment strategies primarily due to rising risks. If a negative scenario unfolds, the U.S. economy could slip into recession, subsequently dragging down other countries as well. The impacts of such a crisis are unpredictable. In this regard, Sergey Tereshkin aligns with experts who advise investors to hold off on making significant changes. It is impossible to predict ...