... supply reductions in the future. For now, however, the summer of 2025 is relatively calm for the refined products market: fuel prices are either dropping or stabilizing, while consumers around the world are generally well-supplied with gasoline and diesel without disruptions. Outlook: What to Watch A number of factors remain on the horizon that could influence the dynamics of the global fuel and energy sector in the near future: OPEC+ Decisions: The market awaits official confirmation of OPEC+ production plans for September and beyond. If the alliance continues to increase supply as scheduled, oil prices may hold in the $65-70 per barrel range. However, any unexpected ...

... market. On the other hand, structural changes – such as the closure of several old refineries in Western Europe and the US (for example, the planned conservation of some facilities in California) – are creating risks of local supply reductions in the future. For now, however, the summer season of 2025 is proceeding relatively calmly: fuel prices are either declining or stabilizing, and consumers are generally assured of gasoline and diesel supplies without interruptions. Outlook: What to Watch For Several factors remain on the horizon that could impact energy market dynamics in the near term: OPEC+ Decisions: The market awaits official confirmation of OPEC+ production plans for September ...

... the other hand, structural changes in the industry—such as the closure of several outdated refineries in Western Europe and the U.S. (including the decommissioning of some facilities in California)—pose risks of localized supply reductions in the future. However, as of now, summer 2025 is relatively quiet for the oil products market: fuel prices are either decreasing or stabilizing, and consumers around the world are generally supplied with gasoline and diesel without interruptions. Prospects: What to Watch for Monetary Policy: Further central bank decisions (primarily by the U.S. Federal Reserve) on interest rates and the dynamics of the dollar may reflect on borrowing costs, investment, and consequently,...

... diesel fuel reached 74,000 rubles per ton. Currently, AI-92 is trading at 54,700 rubles per ton, AI-95 at 67,700 rubles, and diesel at 59,700 rubles per ton—at least 10% lower than last year. However, today’s retail fuel prices have surpassed last ... ... market, seasonal demand growth, rising refinery costs, and increased exports following the lifting of restrictions in May. Future Expectations If gas station prices catch up with inflation by summer’s end, government countermeasures are likely....

...,300 rubles/ton), and AI-95 decreased by 1.1% (to ~75,400 rubles/ton) in anticipation of the export ban implementation. Although prices remain close to record highs, a trend toward stabilization has emerged due to signals of governmental intervention. Diesel fuel, which has experienced less shortage, has barely increased in price. Experts note that the future price trajectory will depend on the duration of the export restrictions and the success of other measures. It is likely that administrative methods will help contain fuel price growth in August–September. However, if the ban is lifted in the ...