... Unemployment rate (June) and preliminary inflation data (CPI, July). Slowing inflation or rising unemployment will heighten expectations for EBC's soft policy, while high inflation figures will maintain pressure on the regulator. 15:30 (USA): Core PCE price index (June) and data on personal income/spending of Americans. The PCE index is a key inflation indicator for the Fed; its dynamics will largely dictate the further course of interest policy. 16:45 (USA): Chicago PMI (business activity in the ...

... from crypto infrastructure. Decreased Alternative Yield: Declining bond yields enhance the appeal of crypto market "betas." Leverage Expansion: Cheaper funding supports derivative activity and liquidity. What to Monitor: Trajectory of CPI/PCE, tone of Fed rhetoric, futures yield curves. 3) BTC Maturity: Decreasing Volatility and Institutional Demand A decrease in Bitcoin's volatility signifies a growing market capacity, improved liquidity, and a larger share of "long money." ...

... цен (CPI) в Германии (февраль) – 16:00 мск Инфляционные показатели крупнейшей экономики Европы будут иметь значение для рынков нефти и газа. PCE Price Index (индекс расходов на личное потребление) в США (январь) – 16:30 мск Это ключевой показатель инфляции, на который ориентируется ФРС, и ...

... premature if any signs of stagflation —a combination of weak growth and persistent inflation—emerge. Powell emphasized that further actions by the Fed would depend on incoming data, and important statistics regarding the labor market and prices (PCE, CPI) are due before the next meeting. Nevertheless, at present, market participants are pricing in an approximately 80% likelihood of a Fed rate cut in September, setting a positive tone for the start of the week. Europe: Business Sentiment and ...