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Monday, December 9, 2024: Analysis of Key Events and Reports
... England, is expected to address topics related to the UK’s monetary policy. His comments may offer hints about potential policy adjustments amid ongoing economic challenges.
Impact on Europe and the United States
Europe:
The slowdown in Japan’s GDP growth and weakening inflation in China could result in reduced global demand for European exports, particularly in industrial machinery and luxury goods. Additionally, subdued activity in Asia might lead to increased pressure on the European Central ...
Buffett Indicator Hits Records: A Sign of Overheating in the US Stock Market
... overheatedness or undervaluation on a macro level.
The principle underlying the indicator is straightforward: if the total value of stocks is growing much faster than the economy (GDP), it may indicate the formation of a
financial bubble
. Historically, GDP grows relatively smoothly, reflecting real economic growth, while the stock market is more volatile and conveys investor expectations regarding future profits. When market value significantly outpaces real economic output, there arises a risk that investors are pricing in overly optimistic growth scenarios ...
Forecast of International Economy for 2025 According to Wells Fargo's "2025 International Economic Outlook"
... easing of policies from other central banks, and heightened uncertainty surrounding China. Developing countries, particularly the Mexican peso and Brazilian real, are expected to face significant pressure.
Outlook for Major Economies
United States:
GDP Growth: 2.0% in 2025 (down from 2.7% in 2024).
Inflation: 2.6% in 2025.
Policy: Ongoing tax cuts and encouragement of domestic investments.
Eurozone:
GDP Growth: 0.9%.
Continued easing of rates by the European Central Bank is anticipated to support the ...
Weekly Economic Events Calendar for U.S. and European Traders (November 25–29, 2024)
...
16:00 GMT: U.S. – Pending Home Sales for October.
16:30 GMT: U.S. – EIA Natural Gas Storage Report.
17:00 GMT: U.S. – Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count.
ECB Speech: Lane from the ECB is scheduled to speak.
Impact on U.S. and Europe:
The release of U.S. GDP and PCE data will provide insights into economic growth and inflation, influencing Federal Reserve policy expectations. German consumer climate data can affect the euro and European market sentiment.
Thursday, November 28
U.S.: Thanksgiving Day – Markets Closed.
13:00 GMT: Eurozone – Consumer Confidence ...
Tuesday, 3 December 2024: Analysis of Key Events and Reports
... Switzerland – Consumer Price Index (CPI) for November. Changes in Switzerland's inflation levels affect the monetary policy of the Swiss National Bank and, consequently, the Swiss franc's exchange rate.
15:00 MSK: Brazil – GDP for Q3 2024. Data on GDP growth or decline provide insights into Brazil's economic health, potentially affecting investment decisions concerning emerging markets.
18:00 MSK: USA – Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) for October. This indicator reflects labor demand ...