... Producer Price Index (PPI), July 2025: M/M: +0.9% (forecast +0.2%; previous value 0%) Y/Y: +3.3% (forecast +2.5%; previous value +2.3%) Core PPI (excluding food and energy): Y/Y: +3.7% (forecast +3.0%; previous value +2.6%) USA: July Producer Price Inflation (PPI) Surpasses Expectations Key Indicators July data on the Producer Price Index (PPI) in the USA revealed a significant acceleration in inflationary pressures. The index increased by 0.9% month-on-month , substantially exceeding the consensus estimate of +0.2% and ...

... Jerome Powell—will occur only on Friday, markets will begin reacting to any statements from Jackson Hole participants on Thursday. If Fed representatives’ comments indicate growing concern about an economic slowdown or other factors, investors might expect a more dovish tone from Powell. Conversely, a continued hawkish rhetoric on fighting inflation will signal that interest rates are likely to remain high longer. The symposium in Jackson Hole traditionally has the potential to provoke significant volatility in currency and bond markets, as it sets the direction of monetary expectations ...

... the U.S. will also provide valuable insights into economic activity and may influence the dollar. Investor Recommendations: Investors trading in the euro, Canadian dollar, or real estate-linked assets should monitor these data points closely. Strong inflation figures may lead central banks to adjust interest rates, impacting bond yields, currencies, and inflation-sensitive sectors. Central Bank Speeches Key central bank officials are set to speak today: ECB’s Frank Elderson – Expected to emphasize the importance of stability in the Eurozone and discuss inflationary pressures. Bank of England Governor – May comment on the British economy amidst Brexit challenges. U.S. Federal Reserve’s Schmid – Likely to address domestic ...

... projected range for the rate by the end of 2025 is 3.5%–3.75%, responding to inflationary pressures triggered by tariffs. Global Growth and Inflation: A slowdown in global growth is anticipated, projecting a rate of 2.5% (down from 2.9% in 2024). Inflation will remain elevated in developing economies, although a reduction is expected in developed countries. State of Global Trade: U.S. tariffs and protectionist measures from other countries will lead to diversification of supply chains. Countries like India, with lower dependency on exports to the U.S., may benefit from the ...

... prices (exchange rates) depend on fundamental factors: macroeconomic indicators and events. The main factors of fundamental analysis in the currency sphere are the macroeconomic indicators of states. A Forex trader monitors changes in central bank rates, inflation, GDP growth rates, unemployment, the state of the trade balance, industrial output and other indicators of economic activity. For example, if the US economy demonstrates strong growth and the Fed raises the key interest rate, a fundamental analyst expects the dollar to strengthen – a rate increase makes investments in dollar assets more attractive, increasing demand for the currency. On the contrary, a soft monetary policy (lowering rates, turning on the printing press) usually weakens the national ...