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Monday, December 9, 2024: Analysis of Key Events and Reports
... Expectations for November
The New York Federal Reserve’s report on consumer inflation expectations will indicate how U.S. households view future price growth. Elevated expectations may increase market speculation of further Federal Reserve interest rate hikes, potentially strengthening the dollar and influencing bond yields.
Central Bank Speaker: Ramsden (UK)
Dave Ramsden, Deputy Governor of the Bank of England, is expected to address topics related to the UK’s monetary policy. His comments may offer hints about potential policy adjustments amid ongoing economic challenges.
Impact ...
What Awaits Investors in the Global Economy
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Expectations and Reality
A few years ago, after the presidential elections in France, many experienced market players anticipated that the country's central bank would seize the opportunity to raise loan costs and prevent the consequences of negative rates. However, the central bank missed the moment or altogether ignored it. The leadership preferred to keep the interest rate at the previous level.
Instead of stability, the economies of European states had to face a worsening situation. This impacted not only France but also ...
What is a Basis Point?
... They help to represent even minor changes in percentages. This is particularly important when analyzing bonds and other fixed-income financial instruments, where accuracy can significantly influence investment decisions.
Basis Points and Central Banks
Central banks often announce interest rate changes in basis points. For example, if the U.S. Federal Reserve raises its key interest rate by 50 basis points, this represents a 0.5% increase. Investors closely monitor interest rate changes, as they affect the availability of credit and the ...
What will be the ruble to dollar exchange rate at the end of the year?
... complicates the economic environment, making the ruble vulnerable.
Geopolitical environment and sanctions: New sanctions or strengthening of existing ones could limit access to currency and increase pressure on the ruble.
Interest rates: High interest rates support the ruble, but their reduction, if the Central Bank of Russia decides to ease monetary policy, could lead to its weakening.
Final forecast: Based on all these factors, the dollar to ruble exchange rate by the end of 2024 is expected to be in the range of 93 to 100 rubles per dollar. With stable oil ...
Thursday, December 5, 2024: Analysis of Key Events and Reports
... Thursday, December 5, 2024. The article delves into significant macroeconomic indicators, including Switzerland's unemployment rate, Germany's manufacturing orders, and the Eurozone's retail sales figures. A focal point is the OPEC+ meeting and its potential ... ... balance, initial jobless claims, Canada's Ivey PMI, and the EIA's natural gas storage data. Insights are provided on speeches from central bank representatives and their prospective impacts on financial markets. The article also highlights corporate events, such as ...