... would lead to a surge in insurance risks for commercial vessels, a rise in freight prices, and heightened tension in the oil market. The India-Pakistan conflict inevitably also involves the interests of other major powers in the region, which risks drawing ... ... limited nuclear strike. Even if it were a "small" warhead targeting enemy forces (e.g., a tactical nuclear missile at a concentration of equipment), the psychological barrier would be crossed. The other side would certainly respond, and further escalation ...