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Pressure on Russia's oil exports is set to increase.
... prices are currently around $61–63 per barrel, slightly above the $60 budget threshold. Revenues above this threshold go to the National Wealth Fund (NWF), meaning basic oil revenue remains secure.
Analyst Vladimir Chernov highlights that oil and gas revenues still exceed the Finance Ministry’s baseline projections, and the weaker ruble partly offsets export losses.
Energy expert Kirill Rodionov believes Russia’s 2024 budget remains on track, with Brent oil prices likely to range between $70–75 per barrel in the coming months. The primary risks will emerge in 2025–2027, as OPEC+ countries,...
Russian oil has fallen below the price cap.
... to 3.36 million barrels per day, while seaborne petroleum product exports decreased by 220,000 barrels per day, to 2.09 million barrels. In addition to the OPEC+ deal, the forced downtime at refineries is also contributing to reduced production and export of petroleum products, Tereshkin explains.
However, experts believe that the situation with oil and gas budget revenues does not look critical at the moment.
"The situation with oil and gas revenues is not critical at the moment. Over the first eight months of the year, the Russian budget received 7.6 trillion rubles in oil and gas revenues....
Thursday, December 5, 2024: Analysis of Key Events and Reports
... flexibility from Russian companies' strategic planning.
U.S. Natural Gas Inventory Data:
The publication by EIA regarding natural gas inventories could affect global gas prices; typically a decrease leads to price increases beneficially impacting Russian gas exporters like Gazprom.
However, increased liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports from U.S. to Europe might intensify competition within traditionally important European markets affecting Russia's position amidst rising LNG supply against higher regional ...
The rise in diesel prices may accelerate by the end of summer, but it will not exceed inflation.
... prices briefly exceeded 75,000 rubles per ton, according to the expert.
The difference between winter and summer diesel at gas stations is typically two to three rubles per liter.
Winter diesel has another similarity to AI-95 gasoline. The exchange ... ... subsidy payments. These payments compensate part of the difference between the indicative price set by the government and the export price of fuel. The subsidy is paid to oil companies for wholesale fuel deliveries to the domestic market, with a deviation ...
Gasoline Outpaces Inflation: Will Prices Continue to Rise at Gas Stations?
... under the "damping" mechanism (compensations from the budget for fuel supplies to the domestic market at prices below export levels) totaled RUB 985.9 billion in the first half of 2024, the equivalent figure fell to RUB 544.7 billion in 2025, marking ... ... Chairman of the Supervisory Board of the "Reliable Partner" association and a member of the expert council for the "Gas Stations of Russia" competition, believes that it's not particularly meaningful to worry about weekly price growth figures....