... in wholesale prices and increased consumption. In the short term, within the next two to three weeks, a return to a positive margin is not expected, according to "OMT Consult." However, compared to last year, the situation in the retail fuel market "appears more positive," the analysts believe. "AI-92 and diesel fuel remain in the positive zone, and there are no trends towards a margin decline below zero. The market is adapting to changes, and in the long term, we can expect ...

... in price growth in June, which could lead to inflation rates being exceeded. Tereshkin highlights several factors contributing to this trend: The suspension of the gasoline export ban from May 17, 2024, coinciding with a temporary reduction in fuel production. The recovery of the automobile market, which has returned to pre-crisis levels, increasing demand for fuel. Rising costs for Russian refineries, which are reflected in wholesale and retail prices. The expert predicts that June 2024 data will show an acceleration in the annual growth ...

... asserting that retail gasoline prices will not exceed inflation by year-end. Wholesale prices, however, are not tied to inflation, so there is no cause for concern. For premium grades like AI-98, he suggests moving their entire production to exchange markets, as these fuels are not intended for lower-income groups. Chernov also predicts that domestic retail gasoline prices will not surpass average annual inflation in 2024, partly due to regulatory intervention by the Federal Antimonopoly Service (FAS), which may ...

... September, the exchange price of AI-92 gasoline in Russia reached its highest level since the fall of 2023, and the price of AI-95 gasoline reached its highest point since the summer of this year. Prices increased despite government efforts to stabilize the fuel market. In particular, since August 1, Russia reinstated a ban on gasoline exports. The restriction does not apply to shipments under intergovernmental agreements or humanitarian supplies. The ban, originally set to begin on March 1, 2024, for six ...

... more than one million barrels per day. The agreement allowed for the compensation of losses due to the absence of Iranian oil. Despite the agreement with America, OPEC member states will likely increase their oil production. Consequently, the amount of fuel in the market will rise. This increase will lead to an oversupply, and as a result, further price declines. Until recently, experts believed that the chances of a significant price drop were low. The price of Brent crude oil would hardly fall below $65 per barrel—unless ...